🎯 Context


Last lesson you put Niger, Switzerland, Japan and Thailand on one line, the demographic transition model, and argued about where each one sits on it. The model told you how fast each population is growing. It said nothing about where those people live.

That is the question for this lesson. In 1960 only about one person in seven in Nigeria lived in a town or city. Today it is closer to two in three, and Lagos, on the coast, is one of the largest cities in Africa. Closer to home, the City of Geneva lost people in the 1970s while the villages around it grew, and the Pays de Gex, just over the border, has almost quintupled since 1968. People are on the move, and they are not all moving in the same direction.

By the end of the lesson you should be able to say what makes a place urban, treat a city as both an ecosystem and a system, and explain why people move into cities, out to their edges, and sometimes away from them altogether.

Phase 1: What counts as urban?


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8.2.2 An urban area is a built-up area with a high population density, buildings and infrastructure.

Urban areas have a dense assemblage of buildings and people located close together for residential, cultural, productive, trade and social purposes; rural areas have relatively low population density and dispersed settlements. Cities, towns and suburbs are classified as urban areas.

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8.2.4 Urbanization is the population shift from rural to urban areas.

Urbanization involves the process of land use becoming more built-up, industrialized and dominated by dense and continuous human settlement and infrastructures.

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An urban area is defined by three things together: a high population density, a dense cover of buildings, and the infrastructure that serves them, such as roads, pipes, power lines and public transport. Notice what the definition includes. It is not only big cities: towns and suburbs count as urban too. A rural area has a low population density and settlements that are spread out.

Urbanisation is not the same as a city getting bigger. It is the shift in the proportion of a population living in urban rather than rural areas. A country's cities can grow simply because their residents have children, and if the countryside grows just as fast, the country has not urbanised at all.

Every country draws the line in its own place. Some count any settlement above a set number of people as urban, and the number varies from country to country; others use density or the services a place has. This matters more than it sounds. In 2018 the United Nations, adding up national definitions, reported that 55% of the world's population lived in urban areas [Source]. In 2025 it switched to a single method applied to every country from satellite and census data, the Degree of Urbanisation, which sorts places into cities, towns and rural areas. On that method, 45% of the world's 8.2 billion people live in cities, against 20% in 1950 [Source]. The rest live in towns or rural areas. The world did not change between the two reports. The ruler did.

The chart below uses national definitions, which is why each country can be compared with itself over time more safely than with another country.

Task 1.1

  1. Using the guidance in the callout, state whether Ferney-Voltaire, a small town on the edge of Geneva beside the airport, counts as urban. Justify your answer.

  2. Distinguish between a city growing and a country urbanising.

  3. Explain why the "55%" of 2018 and the "45%" of 2025 do not show that the world became less urban.

World Bank, Urban population (% of total population), from UN World Urbanization Prospects (national definitions).

World Bank, Urban population (% of total population), from UN World Urbanization Prospects (national definitions).

Urban population (% of total) 1960 1990 2024
Niger 5.7 15.4 18.0
Thailand 11.8 18.8 61.9
Nigeria 14.2 35.2 63.0
Switzerland 51.0 68.7 85.5
Japan 63.3 77.3 92.2

World Bank, Urban population (% of total population), from UN World Urbanization Prospects, national definitions [Source]

Task 1.2

  1. Calculate the change in percentage points for each country between 1990 and 2024, and identify the country that urbanised fastest.

  2. Niger is in stage 2 of the DTM and Japan in stage 4 or 5. Suggest one link between a country's DTM stage and how urban it is.

Phase 2: The city as an ecosystem


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8.2.1 Urban areas contain urban ecosystems.

Urban ecosystems, like all ecosystems, are composed of biotic components (plants, animals and other forms of life) and abiotic components (soil, water, air, climate and topography).

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Local example: Geneva's hot nights


Image from the RTS analysis of Geneva's hot summer nights

Image from the RTS analysis of Geneva's hot summer nights

Image: RTS [Source]

A city is an urban ecosystem: people, street trees, parks, birds and insects (the biotic components) living with soil, water, air, climate and topography (the abiotic components). In a city, many of the abiotic surfaces are made by people: asphalt, concrete, gravel and roofs.

In August 2026 the Swiss broadcaster RTS combined seven public data sets to compare 129 neighbourhoods of the City of Geneva during the heatwaves of June and July. It measured how much warmer each neighbourhood was than a covered lawn at 4 a.m., the coolest hour of the night [Source].

Tree cover ranges from 0.8% to 44.6% across the city. On average, every 10 percentage points of extra tree cover was linked with nights 0.8 °C cooler. The analysis found that tall buildings were not the problem: what heated a neighbourhood was the area of sealed, mineral ground. Concrete, asphalt and gravel absorb heat during the day and release it through the night. Trees shade those surfaces, and their leaves give off water vapour, which cools the air.

The authors are careful about one thing: the link between trees and cool nights is a correlation. Wind, distance from the lake and the colour of building materials also play a part.

Task 2.1

  1. Identify two biotic and two abiotic components of Geneva's urban ecosystem named in this section.

  2. Explain why the Pâquis is about 4 °C warmer at 4 a.m. than Bout-du-Monde.

  3. Plainpalais has almost no buildings but is one of the hottest places in the city. Explain what this tells you about the cause of hot urban nights.

  4. Calculate how much cooler the Pâquis might be at night if its tree cover rose from 5.6% to the 30% planners often aim for. Show your working.

  5. Suggest why your answer to question 4 is an estimate rather than a prediction.

Phase 3: The city as a system


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8.2.3 An urban area works as a system.

An urban system is the interconnected system of buildings, microclimate, transport, goods and services, power/energy, water/sewage supply, humans, plants and animals. In urban systems, consider waste/pollution, urban efficiency, sustainability and resilience.

Application of skills: Create a systems flow diagram representing an urban system.

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